5 Years Ago

Up to June 2019, Apple has made an EBIDTA (Earnings Before Interest Depreciation Tax and Amortization) of $76.5 billion (which has been a decline of 5.24% on the previous year) as its sales of the iconic iPhone start to face stiff competition and mobile phones reach saturation.



Indeed, according to GSM Intelligence (which monitors 1,400 telecom networks globally), there are 5.1 billion mobile subscriptions and 9.2 billion connections - yet the United Nations states the total world population is only 7.1 billion.
However, Apple is sitting on a cash pile of over $200 billion, which is equal to that of the world’s two largest hedge funds — Bridgewater Associates and AQM Capital Management — combined. Apple has 1 billion customers globally and, to date, has sold over 1.4 billion iPhone devices worldwide – giving it a huge scale and international distribution. It has also been reported by the FT that Apple has 420 million monthly subscribers  - Apple Music has overtaken Spotify, iCloud services and Apple TV (which has just had a relaunch). The subscription is going to be available for only $4.99 per month.
So, why would Apple wish to get involved in the financial services sector? Apple Pay was launched back in October 2014 and is available on 900 million iPhones worldwide, but only 43% (383 million people) are using it. However, it is currently available in 24 countries, being accessible to more potential users who follow the BNP Paribas Fortis’ alliance. Apple Card, too, has recently been launched (August 2019) and the credit card is available in a digital format, coming in as a titanium card which offers cashback of 3% if you buy Apple products. The card has built-in digital and facial recognition security and has been launched in conjunction with Goldman Sachs and Mastercard - interestingly promoting that customers’ data, in terms of their spending patterns and history, will not be stored or divulged. In a recent article from Forbes, it was calculated that if Apple were to receive just 20% of the likely revenue generated by the Apple Card then, by 2022, an additional $1.1 billion revenue could be generated for Apple. However, being in partnership with Goldman Sachs. Apple is also active in Asia  - it has been offering finance in China, teaming up with Alibaba to offer interest-free credit to buy an iPhone.
By 2022 the financial services sector is predicted to grow to $26.5 trillion (a CAGR 5.9%) and interestingly Accenture has found that, of 18-34 year old’s, “80% are interested in integrated propositions from financial providers and non-financial vendors and 87% of them state that their mobile devices are their principal device for transacting online. So, who better to turn to than a well-known global brand such as Apple?
The world economy is increasingly turning digital and mobile, which Apple (to a great extent) has enabled and encouraged with its iPhone, iPad and Mac, etc. So, it is no surprise that Apple filed a patent, back in 2009, which was granted in 2014 to use tokenisation on Apple’s devices. Was this little-known interest in tokenisation due to Jennifer Bailey, Vice President of Apple Pay, who recently told CNN “We’re watching cryptocurrency, we think it is interesting. We think it has long-term potential”.
Apple Tokens - If used by their 420 million...


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Here is a 2-minute interview with Mark Carney, the current Governor at The Bank of England, talking about the need for new ‘World Reserve Currency’.

According to Carney, “The US economy is strong so Fed policy is to have a tighter monetary policy which isn't good for other economies, which then impacts on the US economy. Where we have three dominant economic regions - US, China and Europe - we need a new world reserve currency and it cannot be another fiat currency.”

Going back to 1450, the average period a currency has been classed as the World Reserve Currency is 94 years. The US$ has held it for 94 years - how long can it continue to be so?

Instead of, for example, the new-proposed Facebook ‘Libra currency’ just being pegged to a basket of other fiat currencies, how about a global Digital Currency backed not just by the foreign exchange but stocks, commodities, bonds and property as well? In other words, a new Digital world reserve currency linked to the real assets that we use daily. Potentially would such a currency assist in reducing the volatility of the assets that make up this new Digital currency (thus reducing uncertainty for investors) and potentially helping companies make longer-term investments which help to stimulate job creation and economic growth?

It would certainly reduce the reliance on the US$. After all, in Europe and Asia why should the cost of filling up your car with fuel or heating your home in the winter be inextricably linked to the vagaries of US politics and the gyrations of the US$ - simply because the price of fuel is based in US$?

The fact that an esteemed central banker, such as Carney, is publicly proposing the end may be nigh for the mighty ‘greenback’, illustrates the potential impact Digital currencies and Blockchain technology will have on our daily lives.

 

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